We earned the right to publish before we built the product.
Prophet 9 is a daily Major League Baseball projection service built on one stubborn principle: a forecast is only worth anything if you can check it. So we made the record public first, and the product second.
Before publishing a single call we validated the signal out of sample, and the finding is a ladder rather than a number: the highest-conviction signals separate from comparable players at the same production level by +.065 wOBA, stepping down to +.035 for breakout-versus-regression and +.028 across all flagged players — the effect scales with the size of the gap. Across four seasons the top tier beat a matched control by +19.5 to +32.5 percentage points, every interval excluding zero. 2026 is under watch at +8.9pp with an interval crossing zero, and is never run as a headline. The methodology is ours; the result is public.
Anyone can publish a number. We publish a number you can audit. Every call we’ve ever made is on the public record, wins and misses alike.
We report intervals, not certainties, and we track how well our stated confidence matches reality. When we say something is likely, we want that word to mean what it says.
We tell you the concept area moving each player and the interval around it. We don’t reveal the inputs, windows, or thresholds underneath — that’s the edge our subscribers pay for, and giving it away would erase it.
A credibility-first, calibration-tracked projection service for Major League Baseball. Refreshed every night, judged on a permanent public record, priced as a single honest subscription.
Not affiliated with any league or team.