FT

Fernando Tatis

OF · R · 27 · San Diego · as of July 19, 2026
Improvement candidate
cohort standing · not the signal
+13pct
gap
vs peers (cohort standing)
81th underlying
68th surface
Underlying81
Surface68
Improvement candidate

19% of this class sustained a 75+ point OPS gain on held-out 2025; class mean +25 points.

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Engine: Consensus · carries across views

The Fernando Tatis 2026 projections read his skill-implied OPS against his surface results: his underlying skill is leading his results, an early breakout signal. It is a hitter's skill-vs-surface read, framed through MLB analytics rather than box-score noise, a 2026 MLB projection refreshed nightly with calibrated ranges, comparables, and an injury-risk read. Built on baseball analytics that separate underlying skill from the box score.

His skill is running well ahead of his results, an early breakout signal. P9's read: his underlying skill has pulled in front, and the box score hasn't caught up yet. a +.044 divergence on the validated skill-vs-surface axis. His cohort standing (where he ranks vs peers, not the signal): skill 81st, results 68th · a +13 rank gap. This is a low-confidence read on the validated signal axis.

The full file

His per-engine projections, calibrated 80% ranges, both readings (Panel and Ledger), trajectory sparklines, comparables, injury-risk read, and tonight's per-game numbers are inside.

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