PROPHET 9
GC

Gerrit Cole

P · R · 35 · New York · as of July 29, 2026
▲ Moderate breakout candidate (moderate confidence)
cohort standing · not the signal
+27pct
gap
vs peers (cohort standing)
88th underlying
61th surface
Underlying88
Surface61
+ Compare with others →
Engine: Consensus · carries across views

The Gerrit Cole 2026 projections read his skill-implied ERA against his surface results: his underlying skill is leading his results, an early breakout signal. It is a pitcher's skill-vs-surface read, framed through MLB analytics rather than box-score noise, a 2026 MLB projection refreshed nightly with calibrated ranges, comparables, and an injury-risk read. Built on baseball analytics that separate underlying skill from the box score.

His skill is running well ahead of his results, an early breakout signal. P9's read: his underlying skill has pulled in front, and the box score hasn't caught up yet. a +.049 divergence on the validated skill-vs-surface axis. His cohort standing (where he ranks vs peers, not the signal): skill 88th, results 61st · a +27 rank gap. This is a moderate-confidence read on the validated signal axis.

The full file

His per-engine projections, calibrated 80% ranges, both readings (Panel and Ledger), trajectory sparklines, comparables, injury-risk read, and tonight's per-game numbers are inside.

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