PROPHET 9
JM

Jake McCarthy

OF · L · 28 · Colorado · as of July 19, 2026
▼ Moderate regression candidate (moderate confidence)
cohort standing · not the signal
−57pct
gap
vs peers (cohort standing)
22th underlying
79th surface
Underlying22
Surface79
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Engine: Consensus · carries across views

The Jake McCarthy 2026 projections read his skill-implied OPS against his surface results: his results are leading his underlying skill, a regression signal. It is a hitter's skill-vs-surface read, framed through MLB analytics rather than box-score noise, a 2026 MLB projection refreshed nightly with calibrated ranges, comparables, and an injury-risk read. Built on baseball analytics that separate underlying skill from the box score.

His results are running ahead of his skill, a regression signal. P9's read: the box score is out in front of his underlying skill, which hasn't kept pace. a −.059 divergence on the validated skill-vs-surface axis. His cohort standing (where he ranks vs peers, not the signal): skill 22nd, results 79th · a −57 rank gap. This is a moderate-confidence read on the validated signal axis.

The full file

His per-engine projections, calibrated 80% ranges, both readings (Panel and Ledger), trajectory sparklines, comparables, injury-risk read, and tonight's per-game numbers are inside.

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