PROPHET 9
LA

Luis Arraez

2B · L · 29 · San Francisco · as of July 29, 2026
▼ Weak regression candidate (low confidence)
cohort standing · not the signal
−79pct
gap
vs peers (cohort standing)
5th underlying
84th surface
Underlying5
Surface84
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Engine: Consensus · carries across views

The Luis Arraez 2026 projections read his skill-implied OPS against his surface results: his results are leading his underlying skill, a regression signal. It is a hitter's skill-vs-surface read, framed through MLB analytics rather than box-score noise, a 2026 MLB projection refreshed nightly with calibrated ranges, comparables, and an injury-risk read. Built on baseball analytics that separate underlying skill from the box score.

His results are running ahead of his skill, a regression signal. P9's read: the box score is out in front of his underlying skill, which hasn't kept pace. a −.030 divergence on the validated skill-vs-surface axis. His cohort standing (where he ranks vs peers, not the signal): skill 5th, results 84th · a −79 rank gap. This is a low-confidence read on the validated signal axis.

The full file

His per-engine projections, calibrated 80% ranges, both readings (Panel and Ledger), trajectory sparklines, comparables, injury-risk read, and tonight's per-game numbers are inside.

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