MW

Michael Wacha

P · R · 34 · Kansas City · as of June 18, 2026
Emerging Regression candidate
−35pct
gap
27th underlying
62th surface
Underlying27
Surface62
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Engine: Consensus · carries across views

His results are running ahead of his skill — a regression-risk read. P9's read: the box score is out in front of his underlying skill, which hasn't kept pace. The spread — his results rank 62nd, his skill only 27th: a 35 gap. Emerging rates how strongly this signal ranks against his peers — capped for sample depth — not the size of the gap.

The full file

His per-engine projections, calibrated 80% ranges, both readings (Panel and Ledger), trajectory sparklines, comparables, injury-risk read, and tonight's per-game numbers are inside.

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