PROPHET 9
SB

Shane Bieber

P · R · 31 · Toronto · as of July 19, 2026
— No divergence · engines near the prior
cohort standing · not the signal
+12pct
gap
vs peers (cohort standing)
12th underlying
0th surface
Underlying12
Surface0
+ Compare with others →
Engine: Consensus · carries across views

The Shane Bieber 2026 projections read his skill-implied ERA against his surface results: his skill and his results are tracking together. It is a pitcher's skill-vs-surface read, framed through MLB analytics rather than box-score noise, a 2026 MLB projection refreshed nightly with calibrated ranges, comparables, and an injury-risk read. Built on baseball analytics that separate underlying skill from the box score.

His skill and results are tracking together. No meaningful signal right now. His cohort standing (where he ranks vs peers, not the signal): skill 12th, results 0th · a +12 rank gap. The projection is the story today.

The full file

His per-engine projections, calibrated 80% ranges, both readings (Panel and Ledger), trajectory sparklines, comparables, injury-risk read, and tonight's per-game numbers are inside.

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