PROPHET 9
TS

Tarik Skubal

P · R · 29 · Detroit · as of July 19, 2026
▲ Weak breakout candidate (low confidence)
cohort standing · not the signal
+3pct
gap
vs peers (cohort standing)
91th underlying
88th surface
Underlying91
Surface88
+ Compare with others →
Engine: Consensus · carries across views

The Tarik Skubal 2026 projections read his skill-implied ERA against his surface results: his underlying skill is leading his results, an early breakout signal. It is a pitcher's skill-vs-surface read, framed through MLB analytics rather than box-score noise, a 2026 MLB projection refreshed nightly with calibrated ranges, comparables, and an injury-risk read. Built on baseball analytics that separate underlying skill from the box score.

His skill is running well ahead of his results, an early breakout signal. P9's read: his underlying skill has pulled in front, and the box score hasn't caught up yet. a +.041 divergence on the validated skill-vs-surface axis. His cohort standing (where he ranks vs peers, not the signal): skill 91st, results 88th · a +3 rank gap. This is a low-confidence read on the validated signal axis.

The full file

His per-engine projections, calibrated 80% ranges, both readings (Panel and Ledger), trajectory sparklines, comparables, injury-risk read, and tonight's per-game numbers are inside.

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